ExEC Investment Club
Minutes of the
meeting held at The Griffin, Plumtree. 8 April 2001
Present:
Julian Kern
Terry Emmony
Phil Jones
Steve Spence
Apologies:
Roy Brown
Peter Sweeney
Julie Grundy
Cynthia Brooke
Ann Nurse
Mike Arkless
Di Lane
Rod Wood
Ron Pierce
Paul Holden
Andrew Smillie
Debbie McDonnell
1) Terry has sent the current state of the
portfolio to everyone on email.
We now are
showing a slight loss of 1.8%, which is still 10% better than the FTSE100.
2) We considered selling only one of the
shares we held, that of DFS which at 6/4/01 was at 437.5p per share,
representing a £52 gain of 13%.
As there were
insufficient members at the meeting to represent a quorate of members, we are
recommending to the club that we sell DFS and recognise this gain as soon as
possible. I need you to tell me immediately if you agree that we
sell DFS.
3) With the club not having invested in
recent months we have £2,000 available to invest this month (£2,450 with the
DFS proceeds).
We discussed a
number of possibilities, all of which we feel have merits, but with dealing
fees we are recommending 5 of the 7 companies. Again,I need to know
by Wednesday 11th April your preferences for which companies to invest in.
In order of
recommended preference the companies are:
Avon
Rubber - currently
at 133p having been effected by the slump in North America (though a British
company). It's 12 month low is 133p, its high is 250p, very good dividend yield
at 18.3 and a P/E of 10.3. The Balance sheet value of the company is worth more
that the share price, and there have been no bad news in any announcements. To
date we have no investments in Automobiles & parts - the sector which Avon
Rubber is listed in.
We recommend
investing £500.
Energis -
was tipped as a good
investment a month ago at 510p in Investors Chronicle by SG Securities, Morgan
Stanley Dean Witter and Credit Suisse First Boston investment banks. Expecting
an announcement in the next 2 weeks of a deal with BT to offer DSL connection
products. It has thephysical lines via the electricity pylons to operate
telecoms services rather than other companies who rely on BT. Tipped at 510p,
it has since fallen to 261p purely because of sentiment in the Telecoms sector,
12 month high of 676p, a low of 249p.
We recommend
investing £500.
Thus - We recognise that this one will be
controversial, but read on for the reasons.
We are currently
sitting on 152 shares whose breakeven price is 601p.
Many analysts are
saying telecoms prices have fallen too far, and while they might fall further,
the realistic price is higher than the current level.
If we buy more
shares at little cost we can reduce our breakeven price significantly, and
assuming the shares have bottomed out (2 weeks ago UBS Warburg had a target
price of 64p) any increase in share price will generate a profit on the new
shares and reduce the loss we are sitting on, and realistically we don't know
how long (if ever) we have to wait for the price to reach 601p again.
If we purchase
300 shares at the current price of 43p, it will cost a mere £150, and it will
reduce the breakeven share price to 235p, which is still some way of, but
begins to make selling Thus at some stage a possibility.
We recommend
investing £150.
Advance
Visual Communications Plc - a small company quoted on the AIM sector of the market was recommended
in the Daily Telegraph a couple of months ago when the price was 6.5p, it has
since fallen to 3.8p. High for the year 11.25p, low 3.8p.
As such a small
company this is a risky purchase but the cheapness of the share means we can
buy a lot of them and any minor increase will have a significant profit effect.
Read more about
the company at www.advance-group.co.uk
We recommend
investing £300.
Carlton
Communications -
Acquisitive media company, leader in its field, has good fundamentals as a
company. We don't have much in media, only EMAP. Current share price
376p, low for the 12 months 347p, high of 875p, yield 4.4
We recommend
investing £1,000.
Other
possibilities, which we think could be worth considering, but were 6th and 7th
in terms of priority (and could be ones to go for in May) -
Christian
Salvesen - currently
119.5p, low for year 117p, high 187p yield 5.3. rumoured to be up for sale
before the end of 2001, at a price of more than 200p. Any information from
Ron or Paul would be useful. If we were to invest we would go for £500.
Tesco - Market leader, just announced profits
of £1bn. Has been recommended as a good share for months, and has been
recommended again today. Solid market place. Currently high price though at
262p, high for the year 286p, low of 199.5p, but still recommended for growth.
If we were to invest we would go for £500.
Please respond as
soon as possible, but before Wednesday so we can invest this week.
4) Terry asked whether we would like to have
a website for the club, where more information could be posted. The annual cost
would be £25. We thought it was a good idea. Any comments, please respond
Next meeting 12.30
at The Griffin on Sunday 6th May.